Alvarez is the favorite despite his recent form. The defeat to Dmitry Bivol was followed up by wins against Gennady Golovkin and John Ryder. However, Alvarez went the distance in the latter two fights as he struggled to stop his opponents. Although he was coming back from wrist surgery, there were suggestions that he was on the decline. Coming into this fight, however, Canelo has reassured his fanbase that he is 100 percent fully healed. As for Charlo, the American will fight above junior middleweight for the first time in his career as he jumps up two weight divisions to super middleweight. A win will make Charlo undisputed in a second weight class, but the odds are against him. Alvarez will likely be the heavier fighter come fight night, while Charlo’s speed and agility are seen as key weapons to victory. Nevertheless, De La Hoya felt Canelo would eventually break down the American.
“[Alvarez is] going to break him down. It’s not going to be easy. Charlo is very elusive. Knows how to use his feet. He’s going to maybe give Canelo trouble. But you have to think about Charlo jumping up two weight classes. It’s not going to be easy. Canelo is a solid at 168. He’s a hard puncher. Eventually, it’s going to catch up with Charlo. I have Canelo winning. I just feel that Canelo must knock him out to impress. I think Canelo’s last fights have been a little shaky. We all know that. And he knows that. If Canelo comes out and knocks out Charlo, it’s a win-win for everybody,” De La Hoya
Alvarez’s win over Caleb Plant in 2021 showed how dangerous the Mexican can be later down the stretch. ‘Sweethands’ was boxing well, however, his failure to get Canelo to respect his power cost him as he was stopped in the 11th round. And if Charlo is to get a win over Canelo, he will have to keep the Mexican at bay. And yet, by exchanging with Canelo, there is a chance that he could get caught, which is why the fight is such an intriguing match-up.